For Justin Baldoni to win his legal case against Blake Lively, he would need to strengthen his claims with concrete evidence, address contradictions in his lawsuit, and shift the public narrative in his favor. Here’s what would need to happen:

1. Provide Clear, Verifiable Evidence of Lively’s Alleged “Threats” and Manipulation

• His lawsuit heavily relies on vague paraphrasing of threats Lively allegedly made, but no direct evidence has been provided.
• To win, Baldoni needs emails, text messages, or recordings where Lively explicitly demands control or threatens retaliation if she doesn’t get her way.
• If his team has proof that she used legal pressure, withheld promotional support, or blackmailed production to gain power, they need to present it clearly.

2. Justify Blocking Lively’s PGA Mark With a Stronger Argument

• Right now, the PGA mark dispute makes Baldoni look bad because his own executive admitted Lively contributed significantly beyond acting.
• To win, he needs to prove that she did not meet the PGA requirements by showing that she did not participate in major creative or budgetary decisions.
• If Sony and Wayfarer have internal documentation that contradicts her claims of heavy involvement, this would weaken her position.

3. Undermine Lively’s Harassment Allegations With Strong Counter-Evidence

• Baldoni’s case is significantly weakened by the harassment allegations made against him.
• To win, his legal team must disprove or discredit these claims by:
  • Producing witness statements from other crew members denying misconduct.
  • Providing behind-the-scenes footage that contradicts Lively’s version of events.
  • Highlighting any inconsistencies in her statements over time.

4. Prove That He Was the Victim of a Smear Campaign

• Baldoni claims that Lively and her PR team orchestrated a media attack against him, but he needs evidence of deliberate, coordinated efforts to harm him.
• This could include:
  • Leaked internal emails or texts from Lively’s team discussing strategies to damage Baldoni’s reputation.
  • Any proof that Sony was pressured to side with her against Wayfarer.
  • Demonstrating a pattern of similar past behavior from Lively in previous projects.

5. Shift the Public Narrative Away From “Baldoni Blocking a Woman’s Success”

• Right now, the lawsuit makes him look like a man trying to discredit a female producer in an industry that already struggles with gender bias.
• To win in the court of public opinion, he needs to frame his case as:
  • A fight for creative integrity (not just about ego).
  • A case of contractual fairness—that Lively overstepped her legal role and violated agreements.
  • An effort to expose behind-the-scenes power struggles that affect all creatives, not just him.

6. Address the Craig Hodges NBA Film Controversy Before It Hurts Him More

• The story of Baldoni blocking Craig Hodges’ film and holding the rights hostage makes him look badly hypocritical.
• To win, he must clarify why Wayfarer pulled out of that project.
• If there is documentation that justifies his stance on why he didn’t allow Jivi Singh to direct, he needs to make it public ASAP before this becomes another PR disaster.

7. Settle Out of Court to Avoid a Prolonged Legal and PR Battle

• If Baldoni lacks hard evidence to back his lawsuit, the smartest move might be to settle with Lively privately before more damaging information surfaces.
• A settlement could allow both parties to walk away without public losses, especially since this case is already harming his reputation.

Final Thoughts: Baldoni’s Path to Victory Is Unclear

Right now, Baldoni’s case has too many contradictions and not enough proof. His best shot at winning is:

• Providing undeniable evidence of threats/manipulation from Lively.
• Justifying why Lively was denied producer credit with hard facts.
• Shifting the media narrative away from himself being a gatekeeper.

Without this, his lawsuit looks like a personal vendetta rather than a legitimate legal battle. If he fails to provide stronger evidence, he is more likely to lose than win.